Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.019460 0.021298 0.023149 0.025147 0.027239 0.029363 0.031676
2025-07-20 0.015850 0.018690 0.021663 0.024989 0.028587 0.032347 0.036554
2025-07-27 0.013649 0.017021 0.020655 0.024821 0.029426 0.034329 0.039909
2025-08-03 0.012420 0.016233 0.020440 0.025358 0.030886 0.036854 0.043729
2025-08-10 0.011019 0.015104 0.019717 0.025212 0.031485 0.038345 0.046335
2025-08-17 0.009778 0.014050 0.018985 0.024968 0.031899 0.039564 0.048580
2025-08-24 0.008807 0.013238 0.018469 0.024911 0.032470 0.040915 0.050931
2025-08-31 0.007879 0.012408 0.017870 0.024706 0.032826 0.041984 0.052932
2025-09-07 0.007119 0.011732 0.017414 0.024629 0.033296 0.043156 0.055025
2025-09-14 0.006282 0.010896 0.016710 0.024213 0.033331 0.043798 0.056487
2025-09-21 0.005540 0.010132 0.016054 0.023816 0.033358 0.044405 0.057886
2025-09-28 0.004709 0.009181 0.015110 0.023020 0.032868 0.044377 0.058522
2025-10-05 0.004343 0.008895 0.015056 0.023385 0.033850 0.046159 0.061366
2025-10-12 0.003822 0.008350 0.014641 0.023285 0.034268 0.047289 0.063472
2025-10-19 0.003336 0.007809 0.014197 0.023118 0.034577 0.048269 0.065385
2025-10-26 0.003116 0.007664 0.014285 0.023634 0.035734 0.050263 0.068498
2025-11-02 0.002721 0.007194 0.013890 0.023494 0.036048 0.051228 0.070376
2025-11-09 0.002341 0.006709 0.013444 0.023260 0.036226 0.052014 0.072031
2025-11-16 0.002046 0.006338 0.013142 0.023206 0.036620 0.053054 0.073984
2025-11-23 0.001748 0.005922 0.012750 0.023009 0.036816 0.053841 0.075624
2025-11-30 0.001508 0.005586 0.012458 0.022935 0.037161 0.054804 0.077471
2025-12-07 0.001231 0.005128 0.011948 0.022535 0.037063 0.055205 0.078627
2025-12-14 0.000992 0.004705 0.011467 0.022154 0.036976 0.055607 0.079774